Trade, Manufacturing, and the Rise of Chinese OEMs
China is the undisputed global hub for EV production, responsible for over 70% of the 17.3 million electric cars manufactured in 2024. Chinese OEMs accounted for more than 80% of this domestic production, and their global expansion is accelerating. Chinese-made EVs accounted for 40% of global exports in 2024. Exports to Brazil, Mexico, and Southeast Asia surged, driven in part by frontloaded shipments ahead of new import tariffs.
However, trade tensions are reshaping global supply chains. The U.S., Canada, European Union, Mexico, and Brazil have all enacted or proposed higher tariffs on Chinese EV imports. In response, Chinese manufacturers are investing in overseas plants. BYD, Geely, and SAIC are setting up production facilities in Brazil, Thailand, and Türkiye. The IEA projects that overseas manufacturing capacity of Chinese OEMs will more than double by 2026, reaching 4.3 million vehicles annually.
The European Union remains a net exporter of EVs, producing 2.4 million electric cars in 2024. However, production is uneven across manufacturers. Tesla and Ford increased EU production, while Stellantis and Renault reduced output by over 15%. In North America, U.S. production fell, while Mexico doubled its EV output, now accounting for over 70% of U.S.-bound exports.
Affordability and Market Accessibility
Affordability remains the most significant barrier to mass adoption, especially in mature markets. While battery pack prices fell over 25% globally in 2024, many Western consumers still face steep premiums. In Germany, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are on average 20% more expensive than comparable internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). In the U.S., that premium is around 30%.
In contrast, China has flipped the affordability equation. Two-thirds of EVs sold in China are now cheaper than ICEVs, even without subsidies. BYD’s compact Seagull BEV, priced around USD 11,000, was one of the best-selling models globally in 2024. In Thailand, BEV prices have reached parity with conventional cars, and in Brazil, the price gap shrank from over 100% in 2023 to 25% in 2024.
Emerging markets are benefitting from the influx of low-cost Chinese imports. In Brazil and Thailand, 85% of EVs sold came from China. Even in India, domestic OEMs like Tata are launching EVs under USD 10,000. Yet this reliance on imported vehicles may face headwinds as countries phase in local production requirements and revise tax incentives.