nzero 2024
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Global Perspectives

The Decisions That Get Us to Net Zero and How AI Can Help.

Published August 30, 2024
Chief Technology Officer
By John Rula Chief Technology Officer
AI

As the world increasingly turns its focus toward sustainability, the road to net-zero emissions has become a critical path for companies across industries. At NZero, we recognize that this journey is complex and data-intensive, but we remain optimistic. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) are making this goal more attainable than ever before. With tools like deep neural networks (DNNs) and large language models (LLMs), AI is not only enhancing our ability to manage and analyze data but also empowering companies to make informed decisions that drive significant reductions in their carbon footprints.

Data Aggregation Across Unstructured and Loosely Structured Data

A foundational step in any greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory or decarbonization initiative is the aggregation of data—often an arduous and labor-intensive process. Organizations are required to collect and normalize emissions data across vast operational footprints, which can involve thousands of data sources in various formats. This complexity is particularly pronounced when dealing with Scope 3 emissions and supply chain data, though even Scope 1 and 2 emissions data can span hundreds of disparate sources.

LLMs are particularly well-suited to address this challenge. These models excel at transforming unstructured data into structured formats, facilitating the creation of comprehensive and accurate GHG inventories. Even with off-the-shelf models like GPT-4, the extraction and formatting of data can be accomplished with minimal effort, significantly reducing the manual labor typically involved in these processes.

Better Predictions and Forecasting

Accurate predictions are the backbone of effective decarbonization strategies. Whether forecasting the impact of specific emissions reduction interventions or understanding the broader effects on energy use and costs, the ability to predict outcomes with precision is essential. However, achieving this level of accuracy requires large volumes of detailed data and contextual information.

DNNs are revolutionizing prediction accuracy in this domain. Unlike traditional models that rely on explicit assumptions, DNNs can generate highly accurate forecasts without such constraints. For instance, Google’s DeepMind has demonstrated how DNNs can outperform state-of-the-art models in weather forecasting—a field closely related to energy and emissions prediction. As the availability of data grows, particularly in areas like advanced measurement and verification (M&V), the capabilities of these models will only continue to expand.

The potential for AI to address the challenges of sustainability reporting and decarbonization planning is immense. As these technologies continue to evolve, one thing is certain: the future of net-zero will be powered by data—detailed, comprehensive, and increasingly accessible data.

Combinatorial Optimization

Decarbonization planning involves making complex decisions, particularly when it comes to optimizing emissions reduction strategies within budgetary constraints. Combinatorial optimization, a branch of mathematical optimization, is critical in this context. It involves finding the best solution from a finite set of possibilities—whether for large portfolios or individual buildings.

For example, retrofitting a building to reduce energy use and emissions can involve millions of possible combinations of interventions. When considering time-of-use effects for emissions and costs, the complexity increases even further. Traditionally, this problem has been addressed using commercial solvers or approximation algorithms, but these methods can be computationally expensive.

Emerging approaches using DNNs combined with reinforcement learning are offering a faster, more efficient way to find near-optimal solutions. These techniques allow for the rapid exploration of large solution spaces, enabling more effective and timely decarbonization planning.

Unique Synthesis for Bespoke Needs

At NZero, we understand that each organization has unique needs when it comes to energy and emissions data. The ability to tailor analysis and reporting to meet these specific requirements is crucial for customer satisfaction. Historically, this level of customization has required manual data exports and the joining of datasets outside our platform, often with the support of our services team.

However, the advent of LLMs and generative AI is transforming this process. These technologies enable the creation of bespoke reports and analyses based on unique customer queries, all within their preferred context, and without the need for human intervention. This not only enhances the scalability of decarbonization knowledge and services but also democratizes access to advanced sustainability tools—making them available to a wider range of organizations in a cost-effective manner.

The potential for AI to address the challenges of sustainability reporting and decarbonization planning is immense. As these technologies continue to evolve, one thing is certain: the future of net-zero will be powered by data—detailed, comprehensive, and increasingly accessible data. At NZero, we are committed to leveraging AI to help companies navigate this complex landscape and achieve their sustainability goals, making net-zero not just a target, but a reality.

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