nzero 2024
Net zero has a new standard
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In 2024, renewable energy crossed a critical economic threshold. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), 91% of all newly commissioned renewable power projects were more cost-effective than the cheapest fossil fuel-fired alternatives. This milestone confirms a long-standing projection by energy analysts: clean energy has evolved into a financially sound option that aligns with sustainability goals. As this cost advantage widens, it is rapidly transforming investment flows, reshaping infrastructure development, and redefining fiduciary responsibility in both the public and private sectors.

Investment Signals Shift Toward Renewables Amid Falling Costs

The Economics Behind the Shift

The dramatic improvement in the economics of renewables is primarily driven by plummeting technology costs and increased efficiency. According to IRENA's 2024 report on renewable power generation costs, 91% of all newly commissioned utility-scale renewable projects delivered electricity at a lower cost than the cheapest new fossil fuel-fired alternative. Onshore wind retained its position as the most affordable source of new power generation globally, with a global weighted average levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of USD 0.034/kWh, closely followed by solar PV at USD 0.043/kWh and hydropower at USD 0.057/kWh.

This cost disparity is not limited to sunny or windy regions. From Europe to Asia, renewable installations are delivering affordable power due to economies of scale, more efficient supply chains, and advances in manufacturing. Notably, battery storage costs have declined by over 80% in the past decade, enabling better integration of intermittent sources like solar and wind into the grid. As a result, renewables can now meet baseload requirements with reliability and resilience.

Investment Momentum and Capital Allocation

Investors are following the economics. According to IEA, total global investment in renewable energy reached a historic USD 570 billion in 2024. This surge was driven by a mix of institutional investors, development banks, private equity, and corporate financing. Clean energy exchange-traded funds (ETFs), green bonds, and blended finance structures have all gained momentum, allowing for risk-adjusted exposure to the energy transition. Meanwhile, clean energy infrastructure projects (particularly solar, wind, and grid upgrades) are generating equity internal rates of return (EIRR) that typically range from 6% to 10% in developed markets and between 10% and 14% in emerging markets. These equity IRRs reflect the broader trend in infrastructure investing, where renewable energy projects offer returns that are significantly higher than the average yield on 10-year government bonds, which in 2024 ranged from approximately 3.5% to 4.5%. This yield differential highlights the strong relative performance and investment appeal of clean energy infrastructure, particularly for long-term, risk-adjusted portfolios.

In contrast, fossil-based investments are losing appeal. Asset managers and pension funds are increasingly concerned about stranded-asset risk in coal and oil projects, particularly those with long payback periods amidst rising regulatory pressure. Many banks have adopted policies to phase out lending for fossil fuel development, reflecting a broader market pivot away from carbon-intensive assets.

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Policy, Risk, and ESG Integration

Public policy and ESG frameworks are further reinforcing the economic case for renewables. Major initiatives like the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in the U.S., the European Union's REPowerEU, and India's Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme are de-risking clean energy investments through tax credits, subsidies, and loan guarantees.

At the same time, fossil fuel projects face rising regulatory, legal, and reputational risks. Carbon pricing schemes are expanding, climate litigation is on the rise, and shareholder pressure is intensifying. The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and the EU's Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) are pushing firms to reveal their climate risks; in many cases, those risks are financially material. As a result, ESG investing is no longer niche; it has become a core part of fiduciary duty for institutional investors seeking long-term performance.

Corporate and Infrastructure Case Studies

Many corporates are now pursuing renewables for cost savings, not just climate goals. For instance, tech giants like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google have signed multi-gigawatt power purchase agreements (PPAs) that lock in low-cost renewable energy for the next 10 to 15 years. These PPAs reduce exposure to fossil fuel price volatility while improving energy price predictability.

Emerging markets are also making strides. Countries like Brazil, Vietnam, and Kenya have deployed utility-scale renewables without subsidies, thanks to falling capital costs and growing investor confidence. In these markets, solar and wind are often the cheapest new source of power, helping expand electricity access while decarbonizing grids.

Infrastructure developers are reporting payback periods as short as 4 to 6 years on large solar and wind projects, especially when paired with battery storage. These economics make clean energy assets highly bankable, attracting project finance and sovereign guarantees alike.

Conclusion

The latest data indicates a growing financial edge for renewable energy sources. In 2024, 91% of newly commissioned renewable power projects were more cost-effective than fossil fuel-fired alternatives. This trend has coincided with rising capital inflows into clean energy, improving project returns, and expanding policy support.

At the same time, fossil-based investments are facing challenges related to regulatory uncertainty, long-term asset viability, and shifting investor priorities. The broader landscape suggests that the economics of energy investment are evolving quickly, with cost competitiveness and risk-adjusted returns becoming increasingly central to decision-making.

How this dynamic continues to unfold will depend on a range of factors, including technological advances, market structures, and policy developments. Stakeholders will need to assess financial performance, strategic alignment, and long-term risk profiles as the transition accelerates.

References

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